Research — XoverO

Research

Six pieces this fall, every other Thursday, building to a case study in December.

Notes

The bet nobody prices

Develop or replace is a capital allocation decision, made weekly and priced never. Three claims specific enough to be wrong.

This fall

Sep 10The bet nobody pricesRead

Sep 24What a grade cannot tell youScheduled

Oct 8Horses or jockeyScheduled

Oct 22The constrained-program caseScheduled

Nov 5Coordinators cannot see themselvesScheduled

Dec 10The case studyScheduled

Earlier work

What Close Games Measure4,967 close games, and a league of coins produces the same distribution. Coaches are fired over this. The Nebraska MarginThe largest production-to-wins gap in the panel, and why that is less damning than it sounds. The Cheap-League EffectThe conferences that spend least beat the model most. A finding about the model before it is one about the leagues.

From a nine-season panel of 131 FBS programs. Publishing alongside the series.